I would like to begin by thanking you for being a reader of my very first blog posting. This blog will be generally based around sports and, specifically, the sports in season. I will begin by breaking down 3 games against the spread for this upcoming NFL Week 10. Here we go.
Raiders (4-4) at Chargers (4-4) (-7)
The NFL has a match up of two of the sloppier teams in the league for the first Thursday night game of the season. The biggest factor in this game from a personnel point of view is the absence of Darren McFadden. This will put even more pressure on a Raiders passing attack that Carson Palmer is still getting accustomed too. I don't care how much time he spent with this coach, or with this receiver in previous years at Cincinnati. Cohesion in today's NFL does not come without significant work in multiple games. San Diego will be much healthier with more weapons available for Phillip Rivers. Look for the Chargers to win this game going away.
Pick: Chargers
Giants (6-2) at 49ers (7-1) (-3.5)
The Giants are coming off a big win at New England. The 49ers are coming off a relatively easy win over the Redskins. Everyone has completely fallen in love with Alex Smith like he's magically become this fantastic quarterback after 6 years in the league. I don't believe this to be true. All Smith has done this season, which I agree is important, is avoid the key turnover. He has not won a game with his arm. The 49ers have kept the game in the hands of Frank Gore, who is having his best season since 2006 and their defense that ranks 1st in the NFL against the rush. Good news for the Giants is that they have becoming an elite passing team this season (49ers rank 22nd vs pass). Bad news for the Giants is that they have become rather poor in stopping the run (49ers rank 6th rushing the ball). Look for the Giants to utilize Prince Amukamara in the slot freeing up Antrell Rolle to play back at his natural safety position and creep into the box on running downs. The Giants will force Alex Smith to beat them, and I don't think he's capable of doing that especially when faced with the Giants 4 headed pass rushing monster. The Giants will continue their aerial assault with weapons like Nicks, Manningham and Cruz. This will be a tightly contested contest but I see the Giants squeaking out a win in a game where neither team reaches 20 points.
Pick: Giants
Jaguars (2-6) at Colts (0-9) (+3)
Earlier in the season, the Colts were actually in a couple of games. Heck, they even lost a couple of those games by less than one score. And it's hard to believe there are teams out there that actually score less than they do, and they happen to be playing one this week. At first look, this is a game to normally avoid like the plague. Upon further review, I've decided to take the Jags to cover on the road. MJD can still do his thing and look for the little guy to get the ball anywhere from 30-40 times. The Jags defense has actually played fairly well this season, especially against the pass. I expect the combo of the Jags D and MJD to outplay the Indianapolis Lucks and win somewhere in the area of 24-7.
Pick: Jaguars
Thanks for reading and I hope you enjoyed my picks for the week. I will keep a running total from now until the end of the season so we'll see how well I do. Goodnight, for now.
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